#interest rates
14 articles tagged interest rates. This tag now lifts the site in topic search.
Timeline
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10-year Treasury yield hits 5.18% — the three forces behind a 2007-level high
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September FOMC dates — September 15-16, and the last inflation print is September 11
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Fed hike odds of 56% — the number comes from a futures price, not a poll
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Warsh's first Jackson Hole speech (August 28, 2026) — September hike odds jump to 56 percent in a day
All articles
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Economy · 2 min read10-year Treasury yield hits 5.18% — the three forces behind a 2007-level high
Levels — 10-year 5.18% (highest since 2007), 30-year 5.47% (22-year high), 30-year mortgage 7.37%, all on September 24
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Economy · 3 min readSeptember FOMC dates — September 15-16, and the last inflation print is September 11
Dates — FOMC September 15-16 with a dot plot; decision 2:00 pm ET September 16
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Economy · 4 min readFed hike odds of 56% — the number comes from a futures price, not a poll
Source — not a poll: it is reverse-engineered from 30-day fed funds futures prices
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Economy · 3 min readWarsh's first Jackson Hole speech (August 28, 2026) — September hike odds jump to 56 percent in a day
Message — The economy is strong, but underlying inflation has not improved. More work to do
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Economy · 3 min readUS July PCE 3.7% (August 26, 2026) — core at 3.3%, unchanged for a second month
Numbers — Headline PCE +3.7% YoY, +0.2% MoM. Core +3.3% YoY, +0.2% MoM — the same as June
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Economy · 3 min readJackson Hole 2026 (August 27–29) — the keynote belongs to Warsh, not Powell
Timing — symposium August 27–29; keynote 10:00 a.m. ET on August 28, which is 11:00 p.m. Korean time
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Economy · 3 min readFOMC July minutes show a 9-3 vote — and a proposal to cut meetings from eight to six
Vote — 9-3 to hold at 3.5-3.75%; all three dissents favoured a quarter-point hike
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Economy · 3 min readFOMC July minutes land August 19 — the question left by three dissents
Release — minutes of the July 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting are published August 19 (US time)
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Economy · 4 min readWhat FOMC minutes are — and why a three-week-old document still moves markets
What they are — the detailed record of an FOMC meeting, describing the discussion in narrative form without naming individual speakers
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Economy · 4 min readUS July CPI comes in at 3.4% on August 12, 2026 — September hike odds fall to 42%
Headline CPI +0.1% m/m and 3.4% y/y — down 0.1 point from June's 3.5%
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Economy · 2 min readS&P 500 closes at a record 7,757.64 — KOSPI ends the week at 6,258.77
Friday in New York: S&P 500 7,757.64 (+0.62%) and Nasdaq 26,690.62 (+1.30%) at records, Dow 54,036.93 (+0.28%)
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Economy · 4 min readUS CPI explained — why one monthly number moves rates everywhere
CPI is published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in headline and core (ex-food-and-energy) forms
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Economy · 5 min readWhy rising bond yields push stocks down — one formula and three exceptions
Equity value is future cash flows discounted to the present, and the discount rate starts from the risk-free government bond yield
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Economy · 2 min readThe Jackson Hole symposium, explained — why a lodge speech moves world markets
Jackson Hole is the Kansas City Fed's annual symposium — this year August 27-29